Rotation #30 NHL Saturday Toronto Maple Leafs -115 vs Boston Bruins @ 8 ET - This series has been back and forth so far and I look for that pattern to continue here. The Bruins won 4-2 in Game 3 after the Maple Leafs had bounced back from a series opening loss by notching a 3-2 win in Game 2. In the Game 3 loss on home ice, the Maple Leafs played the Bruins even in 5 on 5 but they lost the special teams battle. Toronto was 0 for 5 on the power play while Boston only had 3 opportunities but cashed 2 of them! That ended up being the difference in the 4-2 Bruins win. Note that in the regular season there was not a big disparity between these teams special teams. Leafs had the slightly better power play while the Bruins do have an edge on the penalty kill. That said, don't expect a repeat of Game 3 when it comes to special teams. The Leafs might finally have Nylander back on the ice for this critical Game 4. He appears to be nearing his return and had 40 goals and 58 assists in a huge regular season. The Bruins have been alternating goalies but will that work out here? That would mean Ullmark again in Game 4 but, though he played decently, he was the loser in Game 2 and Swayman has played even better. The Bruins goalie rotation could play havoc with the team eventually and this will be interesting to watch here in Game 4. Either way, I like the Leafs to respond big on home ice and even this series up. The Maple Leafs did outshoot the Bruins by a combined 70 to 54 in the first two games of this series. They respond big here. TORONTO -115

Rotation #547: NBA Thursday Denver Nuggets Money Line -155 @ LA Lakers @ 8:30 ET - As long-time followers know, I play a lot of money line dogs. This is a rare case where I am playing a money line favorite in NBA. I expect this series ends tonight. The Nuggets are the defending NBA champs and they certainly know plenty about the importance of rest. With the Wolves on the edge of sweeping the Suns and other series seeing the Mavs and Thunder look quite dominant against their respective foes, Denver knows a sweep would certainly help them prepare even better for the tough road ahead. The concerning thing for the Lakers is they had a 10 point lead after the first quarter in Game 3 and yet lost by 17 points the rest of the way in the eventual 7 point loss. The Nuggets dominated on the glass in that game too. Both teams shot poorly and yet Denver still was the team to grind out the win. Also, the Lakers have been missing some depth players that still remain out. Then when you look at the star players like Davis and James, note that Davis is listed as questionable with a wrist issue and that is different from the back issue he has been playing through. As for LeBron, he is consistently on the injury report with his ankle issue but is he truly wearing down now? He was 1 of 6 from 3-point land on his home floor and he only had 6 rebounds in 42 minutes. Some extra time off between Games 3 and 4 - for example, like Embiid and Sixers have against Knicks - would certainly help James and Davis but that is not the case here. We could lay the 3.5 points here but I am more comfortable with the money line given there has already been a tight 2-point win in this series also. DENVER -155

#905 MLB Saturday Philadelphia Phillies +103 @ San Diego Padres @ 8:40 ET - This one is all about the line value as certainly I respect Cease and he is off to a great start this season but so too is Suarez. That said, what about the lineups and current trending here? The Phillies rolled to a 9-3 win yesterday and their sluggers were crushing the ball. This Philly team has had many bigger performances at the plate of late and if some of their guys that had been a bit quiet early this season are starting to get it going...look out! The Phillies hit 5 home runs yesterday and have now won 9 of 11 games and have scored an average of 7 runs in their last 8 wins! As for the Padres, even playing at Colorado did not help their slumbering bats too much. In a 4-game series they had one 10-9 loss. However, in their other 8 games that are part of their current 3-6 slide, they have scored an average of only 3 runs per game! In 7 of their last 10 home games the Padres have scored 3 or less runs! Even against Cease, don't be surprised if the Phillies prove to be the much stronger team at the plate again today. Note that the Phillies road batting average is more than 20 points higher than the Padres home batting average this season. Suarez has not allowed any runs in the 22 innings spanning his last 3 starts! PHILADELPHIA +103

#923 MLB Saturday Houston Astros -1.5 -155 vs Colorado Rockies @ 6:05 ET in Mexico City, MX - Note the total of 17 runs set for this game. This one is played in high altitude and last season's 2-game series here for MLB featured a ton of runs when the Padres faced the Giants. In this match-up I give a big edge to the Astros and feel they are the ones driving the high total posted on this game. I don't trust the Rockies to keep up. First off, Blanco has been fantastic compared to Quantrill this season. Also, Colorado's lineup does not have experience against Blanco while the Astros lineup does have experience against Quantrill. The key here in a hitter-friendly park is a lot of strikeouts and a lack of strong contact resulting in big hits. Look at the key numbers here and you will see that, both pitchers have logged 27 innings but Quantrill has allowed 28 hits with 4 homers and only 15 strikeouts while Blanco has 22 strikeouts and only 11 hits with just 1 homer! These teams have identical 7-19 records but the Astros are on a 5-game losing streak while Rockies have been a little better of late. So why is Houston such a massive favorite here? Exactly! The odds makers are looking at the same thing sharp bettors are looking at here! Per all of the above, lay it with confidence here! HOUSTON -1.5 -155

Rotation #200049: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3.5 -110 in Newcastle United vs Sheffield United @ 10 AM ET - Big total here but fully justified! Newcastle is angry off a shutout loss on the road. Now they are back home and favored by 2 goals on the goal line here. They will take advantage of facing a Sheffield United club that, amazingly, has allowed 92 goals in 34 matches this season! Newcastle is known for scoring well at home and they have tallied 43 in their 17 matches as a host this season. They could get this total all by themselves as scoring 4 would not surprise me. Newcastle won the reverse fixture 8-0 this season! Surely Sheffield would like revenge for that bloodbath at home but they are catching Newcastle as the wrong time to exact revenge. Sheffield should get on the scoresheet here as they have been finding the back of the net with regularity. The problem is they can stop no one and that is why I am looking for at least a 3-1 final here! Sheffield has played 16 matches since the calendar turned the page to 2024 and 14 of the 16 totaled at least 4 goals! Sheffield has scored 11 goals in last 7 matches and they will push hard here as they have nothing to lose. However, this Newcastle club is getting a little healthier again and they have the striking ability to make Sheffield pay early and often in this one on the counterattack. No club in the league has scored more than Newcastle's 43 in home matches. No club in the league is anywhere close to conceding 92 goals on the campaign like Sheffield. Look for another wild one here as the hosts will not let up here coming off a 2-0 loss at Crystal Palace. They are fired up to respond on their home pitch. OVER 3.5 -110 in Newcastle United

Rotation #200073: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3 -120 in Tottenham vs Arsenal @ 9 AM ET - This is a great spot to expect goals as Tottenham has been off for 2 weeks thinking about an ugly 4-0 loss to Newcastle in their most recent match! Now the Hotspur are on their home pitch and ready to respond in a huge way and I look for them to do just that! The Hotspur have scored an average of 2 goals per match this season. Of course  here they face the club at the top of the table and, as you would expect as a top club, Arsenal has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match this season. Also, Tottenham surely benefited from the extra rest and Richarlison particularly benefited. He is ready to go here and, overall, so too is this Tottenham club after the ugly loss. The benefit of getting this total at 3 goals is a big one and note that 4 of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, Arsenal flying high with confidence after a 5-0 win over Chelsea but you know Tottenham is going to bring a huge effort here at home and coming off an ugly road beating two weeks ago. The end result here should be a back-and-forth affair and a 2-2 type match would not surprise me in the least. Overall, 14 of last 15 Tottenham matches in EPL action have totaled at least 3 goals! This one will too! 12 straight home matches in EPL for Tottenham have totaled 3 or more goals. Those matches averaged 3.8 goals apiece. Given all of the above, as well as this situation, over is the play here! OVER 3 -120 in Tottenham